I'd be lying if I said I wasn't super excited about Alfonso Soriano's 2-homer performance last night, or his Cubs record-setting 9 April home runs, but I'm just wondering...
Do you believe them?
Sure they happened alright, but will they keep coming or is this his hot month and the rest will be fours and fivers.
Looking back at his Cub years, he started out as that streaky freak: in 2007 he had 11 homers in June along with 14 homers in September. In 2008 he had 10 in May. Then he started to un-streak somewhat. In 2009 his high month was 7 in April, and in 2010 he had 6 May homers.
Not perfect streak research of course (what about a streak that starts late in one month and continues into the next), but you get the idea.
Now he's got 9 in April, history would suggest that this might be his high month, right?
So, on one hand his homers are probably telling the truth, and he'll do less as the season goes on.
On the other, what if this is just the beginning?
What if there really is something to the time distance from his last injury, and he has some kind of serious resurgence?
Move him up the order some, and maybe the RBI total goes up too?
Right now he's got the 9 homers but only 18 RBIs, which is exactly 8 more than Aramis Ramirez, and 13 more than Marlon Byrd.
18 RBIs is also only 5 more than Darwin Barney's 13.
All of those numbers are weird and sad.
It was good to see Z get back on the winning track last night, although I totally thought he would blow up a couple times either at the home plate ump or himself.
Plus seeing Wood/Marshall/Marmol wolf down the last 3 innings was a pleasure.
And I think I speak the truth about us all when I say it's no lie we'd like to see Matt Garza get his first Cub W.